Friday, August 18, 2006

Of Course Israel Lost

It is now clear that we lost the war. I don't know if we lost it in military terms but it doesn't really matter. Because the purporse of the army is to serve the political goals of the state. Politically, we lost big time.

Lebanon was taken 20 years back in infrastructure. It also made a long way back in internal politics. It is now again a very fragile society.

In Israel, public opinion has gone 20 years back. It will take 20 more years until Israeli public will allow pullouts from occupied land. 20 more years of pain and blood are expected here until we understand again that occupation doesn't get us anywhere and contributes nothing to our security. And this is despite the fact that the current war showed that the when we pull out we get the world backup going on a defensive war. This war showed again that rockets and missiles do not pose an existential thread on Israel. Israel cannot be defeted by rockets.

Before the war, Hizballa was in sterss. Lebanon was growing rapidly because it was going west. It was becoming modern and it did it good. Before the war broke, Hizballa was losing the fight against the west. So it provoked Israel. And Israel fell for it. Now again, the Lebanese are afraid of the west, Hizballa is the savior and, any chance of reaching peace with Israel in the Middle East has taken a step back. This is what Hizballa wanted and this is what they got. That's why Hizballa won.

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